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Taming the Black Swan: The Power Behind New Risk Management Technologies

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When viewed after the fact, it rarely matters which swan it was -- black, grey, or white. What does matter is the damage these risks have caused, and how they could have been anticipated, addressed, or avoided. Lessons in Risk Let's look at some of the far-reaching risk events that have rocked industries around the globe: Negligence: Fukushima Nuclear Disaster Ranked as one of the largest 25 nuclear power plants in the world, the Fukushima Dai-Ichi Nuclear Power Station was constructed and operated by the Tokyo Electric Power Company back in 1971. The plant gained notoriety on March 11, 2011, when a magnitude 9.0 earthquake took place off the northeast coast of Japan. The earthquake set off a deadly tsunami with waves (up to 45-foot high) that swept over the island of Honshu and killed more than 18,000 people. In only a three-minute timespan, the waves crashed over the protective seawall and enveloped the station. While the systems at the plant automatically shut down the reactors, the water knocked out the emergency generators which were pumping coolant around the cores to keep them from overheating. The result: the plant suffered several chemical explosions and three of the reactors had partial meltdowns. This released radioactive material into the air and forced the evacuation of hundreds of thousands of people from the region. The Fukushima disaster is ranked as the second worst nuclear disaster (behind Chernobyl in 1986). According to the BBC, "an independent investigation set up by Japan's parliament concluded that Fukushima was "a profoundly man-made disaster", blaming the energy company for failing to meet safety requirements or to plan for such an event." THE NEW RISK MANAGEMENT | 2

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